Sunday, June 6, 2010

The King of Clay Retakes his Kingdom

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With less difficulty than expected, Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) Rafael Nadal retook the French Open crown from the very man who had prevented him from defending it last year: former and future Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I) Robin Soderling.

One year ago Soderling outmuscled Nadal in four sets in a tense 4th round match (only to lose the final to the other Yokozuna, Roger Federer). Thereafter Nadal was out injured for several months thereafter, and then seemed to struggle to return to his former, dominant form, giving rise to worries that his immensely physical game had taken too much of a toll on his body--concerns that should have been laid to rest by his flawless performances at this tournament, during which Nadal did not drop a single set.

In this final, Soderling played on par with Nadal only at the beginning of the second set, when he carved out--but could not convert--several break points. At all other times Nadal had the edge with his more agile, accurate and controlled game.

But even though Soderling fell short in another Roland Garros final, he has established himself as one of the five or six most dangerous contenders behind the Federer/Nadal Yokozuna duopoly. Which means he can set his eyes on higher targets. A semifinal participation at Wimbledon, or another final at the US Open, would earn Soderling an Ozeki (=Champion) promotion at the not-so-tender age of nearly 26 years. This would provide yet more evidence--after Francesca Schiavone's first Grand Slam title at an age of nearly 30--that there is a space for late bloomers in tennis.

Saturday, June 5, 2010

Promotions, Demotions, and the New Banzuke

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No matter how tomorrow's mens' final ends, the sanyaku (=Championship) ranks for Wimbledon 2010 are already decided (as Soderling will be promoted to Sekiwake in any case, and Nadal will of course stay Yokozuna. Promotions and demotions as a result of the 2010 French Open are as follows:

Sanyaku Rank Changes
Player (career-high rank) To From
Promotions
Elena Dementieva (ex-Ozeki) Ozeki Sekiwake
Robin Soderling (ex-Sekiwake) Sekiwake Komusubi
Caroline Wozniacki (ex-Sekiwake) Sekiwake Komusubi
Samantha Stosur (ex-Komusubi) Sekiwake* Maegashira 1
Francesca Schiavone Sekiwake* Maegashira 5
Jelena Jankovic (ex-Sekiwake) Komusubi Maegashira 1
Tomas Berdych Komusubi* Maegashira 4
Nadia Petrova (ex-Sekiwake) Komusubi Maegashira 6
Jurgen Melzer Komusubi* Maegashira 7
Demotions
Juan Martin del Potro (ex-Ozeki) Sekiwake Ozeki
Kim Clijsters (ex-Ozeki) Sekiwake Ozeki
Andy Roddick (ex-Ozeki) Komusubi Sekiwake
Dinara Safina (ex-Ozeki) Komusubi Sekiwake
Andy Murray Komusubi Sekiwake
Marin Cilic Komusubi Sekiwake
Na Li Komusubi Sekiwake
Svetlana Kuznetsova (ex-Ozeki) Maegashira Komusubi
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (ex-Sekiwake) Maegashira Komusubi
Jie Zheng Maegashira Komusubi
* New career-high

This results in the following sanyaku ranks for Wimbledon--with no less than 5 Komusubi on the mens' side:

Men
Career rank 1/ East Current Rank West Career rank 1/
High Sanyaku (Senior Champion Ranks)
Y Rafael Nadal Y Roger Federer Y
O Novak Djokovic O - -
Lower Sanyaku (Junior Champion Ranks)
O Juan Martin del Potro S Robin Soderling S
S Andy Murray K1 Andy Roddick O
S Marin Cilic K2 Tomas Berdych K
K Jurgen Melzer K3 - -

Women
Career rank 1/ East Current Rank West Career rank 1/
High Sanyaku (Senior Champion Ranks)
Y Serena Williams Y1 Justine Henin Y
Y Venus Williams Y2 - -
O Elena Dementieva O - -
Lower Sanyaku (Junior Champion Ranks)
O Kim Clijsters S1 Francesca Schiavone S
S Samantha Stosur S2 Caroline Wozniacki S
O Dinara Safina K1 Na Li S
S Jelena Jankovic K2 Nadia Petrova S
1/ Career-high Sanyaku rank.

Venus Williams faces an interesting challenge at Wimbledon: she needs to reach the quarterfinals to maintain active Yokozuna status. Based on her past performances at the All England club, she should find this not overly difficult.

Sensazione!!

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Coming seemingly from nowhere, M5W Francesca Schiavone won the French Open 2010 today by outfighting M1W Samantha Stosur 6-4, 7-6.

It was the first grand slam final for either player, but the higher-ranked ex-Komusubi (Junior Champion II) Stosur had entered the match as favorite, in view of her better ranking, excellent clay court seaons, and the way she had played in the tournament thus far, beating the Yokozuna (=Grand Champions) Serena Williams and Justine Henin before blasting away ex-Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I) Jelena Jankovic in the semifinals. Stosur with her muscular, top spin based baseline game seemed on course to establish herself as something like the female counterpart to Rafael Nadal. In the final, however, the veteran fighter Schiavone matched Stosur game for game, and then displayed a steadier game at the big points.

Both Schiavone and Stosur will be promoted to Sekiwake after this tournament, the 36th and 37th of the open era. Schiavone reaches this rank at an age of almost 30 years. She will be the only female Sekiwake bar Barbara Jordan and Chris O'Neil to have won a grand slam title without reaching the semifinal in any other slam. But while O'Neill and Jordan won the 1978/79 Australian Open in a depleted field, Schiavone overcame full-fledged compeition, beating the former (and future) Ozeki Elena Dementieva, former and future Sekiwake Caroline Wozniacki and Sekiwake Na Li on the way to the title.

Now should Schiavone reach the quarterfinal at Wimbledon, she would even make it to Ozeki (=Champion). Stosur would need a semifinal at the All England Championships to this end.

Thursday, June 3, 2010

A Non-Champions' Final for the Ladies' French Open Championship

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Francesca Schiavona (picture) and Samantha Stosur, both ranked Maegashira (=non-champions) before the tournament, overcame higher-ranked opponents today to qualify for their first Grand Slam final. M5W Schiavone benefited from a calf injury of former and future Ozeki (=Champion) Elena Dementieva, who withdrew after a hotly contested first set. M1W Stosur, who has beaten two Yokozuna (=Grand Champions) on her way to the semifinal (see the story below), made short work of M1E and ex-Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I) Jelena Jankovic, thus topping her achievement from last year when Stosur went home after the semifinals.

The muscular Stosur leads the petite Schiavone 4-1 in overall career matches and 2-0 on clay. One of these encounters took place during the first round of last year's French Open, when Stosur previaled by a score of 6-4, 6-2. But irrespective how the final ends, Schiavone and Stosur will both be promoted to Sekiwake after the tournament. A remarkable achievement especially for Schiavone, who at almost 30 years of age enjoys an unusual late career surge.

Should Stosur win on Saturday she will be the first Australian French Open champion since 1973, when Dai-Yokozuna Margaret Court took home her last Roland Garros title, beating a young Chris Evert (at the time a Komusubi) in the final. No Italian lady has ever won the tournament (or advanced to the final), but a champion Schiavone would step into the footsteps Adriano Panatta, who won the mens' competition in 1976, eliminating a certain Bjorn Borg (then an Ozeki) in the quarterfinals. Panatta's French Open triumph also marked his ascent to a career-high Sekiwake rank--in this regard, Schiavone has already caught up.

The French Open 2010 Semifinals
Men
Robin Soderling (K, former S) vs. Tomas Berdych (M4)
Jurgen Melzer (M7) vs. Rafael Nadal (Y)
Women
Samantha Stosur (M1, former K) vs. Jelena Jankovic (M1, former S)6-1, 6-2
Francesca Schiavone (M5) vs. Elena Dementieva (S, former O)7-6 ret.

Wednesday, June 2, 2010

Quarterfinal Summary and Semifinal Line-Up


The French Open 2010 Quarterfinals
Men
Roger Federer (Y) vs. Robin Soderling (S, former K) 6-3, 3-6, 5-7, 4-6
Tomas Berdych (M4) vs. Mikhail Youzhny (M2, former K) 6-3, 6-1, 6-2
Jurgen Melzer (M7) vs. Novak Djokovic (O) 2-6, 3-6, 6-2, 7-6, 6-4
Nicolas Almagro (M6) vs. Rafael Nadal (Y) 6-7, 6-7, 4-6
Women
Serena Williams (Y) vs. Samantha Stosur (M1, former K) 2-6, 7-6, 6-8
Jelena Jankovic (M1, former S) vs. Yaroslava Shvedova (M12) 7-5, 6-4
Francesca Schiavone (M5) vs. Caroline Wozniacki (K, former S) 6-2, 6-3
Elena Dementieva (S, former O) vs. Nadia Petrova (M6, former S) 2-6, 6-2, 6-0


The French Open 2010 Semifinals
Men
Robin Soderling (K, former S) vs. Tomas Berdych (M4)
Jurgen Melzer (M7) vs. Rafael Nadal (Y)
Women
Samantha Stosur (M1, former K) vs. Jelena Jankovic (M1, former S)
Francesca Schiavone (M5) vs. Elena Dementieva (S, former O)


Sanyaku Rank Changes
Player (career-high rank) To From
Promotions
Elena Dementieva (ex-Ozeki) Ozeki Sekiwake
Robin Soderling (ex-Sekiwake) Sekiwake Komusubi
Caroline Wozniacki (ex-Sekiwake) Sekiwake Komusubi
Jelena Jankovic (ex-Sekiwake) at least Komusubi Maegashira 1
Samantha Stosur (ex-Komusubi) at least Komusubi Maegashira 1
Tomas Berdych at least Komusubi Maegashira 4
Francesca Schiavone at least Komusubi Maegashira 5
Jurgen Melzer at least Komusubi Maegashira 7
Nadia Petrova (ex-Sekiwake) Komusubi Maegashira 6
Demotions
Juan Martin del Potro (ex-Ozeki) Sekiwake Ozeki
Kim Clijster (ex-Ozeki) Sekiwake Ozeki
Andy Roddick (ex-Ozeki) Komusubi Sekiwake
Dinara Safina (ex-Ozeki) Komusubi Sekiwake
Andy Murray Komusubi Sekiwake
Marin Cilic Komusubi Sekiwake
Na Li Komusubi Sekiwake
Svetlana Kuznetsova (ex-Ozeki) Maegashira Komusubi
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (ex-Sekiwake) Maegashira Komusubi
Jie Zheng Maegashira Komusubi

Two Gold Stars for Samantha Stosur

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A "Kinboshi" or "Gold Star" is awarded in Ozumo when a Maegashira (= non-champion) beats a Yokozuna (=Grand Champion). M1W Samantha Stosur did so twice in this tournament, eliminating first Y1W Justine Henin in round 4, and now Dai-Yokozuna Y1E Serena Williams in the quarterfinals, each time in gruelling three-setters.

As a result, Stosur will be re-promoted to at least Komusubi (=Junior Champion II) after this tournament, the same rank she held following her semifinal participation at the 2009 French Open. At the time Stosur lost a close match to the eventual winner Svetlana Kuznetsova; this year her opponent is M1E Jelena Jankovic, in a battle of the highest ranked Maegashira. Jankovic, a former Sekiwake (Junior Champion I), will also return to the sanyaku (=championship) ranks after this tournament, for the first time in more than a year.

In the mens' tournament, Yokozuna Rafael Nadal held off his compatriot M6E Nicolas Almagro in three close sets, and will now face M7W Juergen Melzer in the semifinals, who surprisingly eliminated long-time Ozeki (=Champion) Novak Djokovic after being already two sets down. Melzer will therefore give his sanyaku debut at 29 years of age.

Tuesday, June 1, 2010

Elena Dementieva is Again a Champion

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With a convincing victory over compatriot M6W Nadia Petrova, Elena Dementieva has earned her return to Ozeki (=Champion) level, a rank she conquered for the first time in 2004.*

Dementieva holds the doubtful honor of being one of the most succesful female open-era Ozeki to never have won a Grand Slam title (together with Helena Sukova, Rosie Casals, Mary Joe Fernandez and Andrea Jaeger). This tournament may provide an excellent opportunity to change this: the only sanyaku (=championship)-ranked player other than Dementieva left is Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) Serena Williams, but clay is not Serena's strongest surface. The other Yokozuna, Justine Henin and Venus Williams, have already exited, as has ex-Ozeki Dinara Safina, who seems at risk of going the path of Ana Ivanovic; i.e., rapid decline after making it to world number 1 (and Ozeki).

Safina will be Komusubi (=Junior Champion II) at Wimbledon and share the rank with Petrova--the first time Petrova will hold sanyaku rank since 2006, when she was Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I)--and semifinalist M5W Francesca Schiavone. Unless Schiavone also gets by Dementieva, that is, in which case she will be Sekiwake, sharing the rank with ex-Ozeki Kim Clijsters (who is out injured) and Schiavone's quarterfinal victim Caroline Wozniacki. In any case, Schiavone will give her debut as a sanyaku ranked player at nearly 30 years of age.

In the mens' tournament, K1E Robin Soderling finally got Roger Federer's number, taking revenge not only for last year's loss in the French Open final but also 11 other career defeats by the hands of the Dai-Yokozuna. Soderling also ended Federer's incredible series of 23 (!!) consecutive semifinal participation at grand slams. One reward will a re-promotion to Sekiwake. M4E Tomas Berdych secured a first-time Komusubi promotion by overcoming ex-Komusubi M2E Mikhail Youzhny in straight sets, proving that his 4th round win over Sekiwake Andy Murray--that destroyed another chance for Murray to obtain an Ozeki promotion--was no fluke. It is Komusubi instead for Andy Murray after the French Open, as is for fellow Sekiwake Andy Roddick and Marin Cilic.

In the other half of the field, Yokozuna Rafael Nadal and long-time Ozeki Novak Djokovic are one match away from a semi-final encounter. In their ways stand M6E Nicolas Alamagro and M7W Juergen Melzer, respectively.


* Dementieva was Ozeki following her semifinal participation at Wimbledon 2009 (where she lost a nailbiter to Serena Williams), but then dropped to Sekiwake after crashing out early at both the 2009 US Open and the 2010 Australian Open. Reaching the semifinal at Roland Garros ensures immediate re-promotion to Ozeki.