Saturday, January 31, 2009

Magnificent Serena

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Serena Williams is the 7th female Dai-Yokozuna of the open era.

Last night Serena Williams won the 2009 Australian Open in sytle, blasting past the brave but overmatched Dinara Safina, who will be promoted from Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I) to Ozeki (Champion) after this tournament. This is Serena's 10th Grand Slam title. In Ozumo, 10 titles is commonly seen as the threshold for a Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) to be considered "Dai" -- i.e., "great".

Dai-Yokozuna is not a rank (like Yokozuna or Ozeki) but an honorary title. Thus far in the open era, only seven female tennis players have earned this attribute:

(1) Margaret Court, whose 24 grand slam titles (between 1960 and 1973) are still the record, 11 of them in the open era;

(2) Court's great rival Billie Jean King (12 grand slams 1966-1975, 8 of them in the open era);

(3) Chris Evert (18 slams, 1974-1986),

(4) Martina Navratilova (18 slams, 1978-1990);

(5) Steffi Graf (22 slams, 1987-1999);

(6) Monica Seles (9 slams, 1990-1996); and now

(7) Serena Williams (10 slams, 1999-2009).

Seles falls one short of the common threshold but is considered a Dai-Yokozuna nonetheless, given that her career was interrupted by a violent attack from a deranged fan that cost Seles several years of her career.

And now there is Serena. Serena started her Grand Slam career in 1998 at age 16, one year after her older sister, fellow Yokozuna Venus Williams. Her first great success came at end-1999 when she won the US Open, beating three Yokozuna on the way to the title: Monica Seles, Lindsay Davenport and Martina Hingis and earning an immediate promotion to Sekiwake. Serena then stayed at lower sanyaku level for the next 2 1/2 years, until she suddenly exploded in 2002, winning 4 grand slam titles in a row, starting with the French Open. No player since Steffi Graf in 1993/94 had achieved this feat, and no player has since. 2002 also saw Serena's promotion to Ozeki and then Yokozuna, as well as her first world #1 ranking, inherited from Venus.

Serena's career had her setbacks. From 2003 chronic knee injuries made her miss several grand slam tournaments or play them with insufficient preparation. By 2006, she was not considered an active Yokozuna any longer, as she had not reached a grand slam quarterfinal in more than a year, i.e. since her victory at the Australian Open of 2005. Other players, like Yokozuna Justine Henin or Ozeki Maria Sharapova, took over as the sport's leading competitors.

Serena burst back onto the scene by winning the Australian Open 2007 out of the blue, beating Sharapova in the final, but resumed her former domination in full only in 2008, when she reached the Wimbledon final (losing to Venus) and now won back-to-back the US and the Australian Open.

In my open era player rankings I keep Serena at #7 for now, behind her six fellow Dai-Yokozuna. But two more grand slam titles and Serena would overtake King and Seles and move to #5. Given how Serena has performed recently, there is little doubt she could achieve also this. Only Court, Graf, Navratilova and Evert would then remain ahead of her (that are probably out of reach).

For Serena's full career record see here (to come).

Friday, January 30, 2009

An All-Yokozuna Mens' Final

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Rafael Nadal followed his fellow Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) Roger Federer into the Australian Open final by wrestling his compatriot M5E Fernando Verdasco to defeat in five gruelling and gripping sets.

This is the 7th time Federer and Nadal meet in a Grand Slam final, but the first time for both to meet as Yozokuna. The last all-Yokozuna Grand Slam final was at the 2005 US Open, when Federer beat Andre Agassi in four sets.

It's hard to make out a clear favorite: while Nadal leads Federer 12-6 head-to-head (5-2 at slams), he trails Federer 2-3 on hard court, and Federer's record at the Australian Open is much better. Plus, Federer has looked awesome at these Open even since he overcame M8W Tomas Berdych in a tight five-setter in round 4.

Verdasco (picture) earns a career-first promotion to Komusubi (=Junior Champion II) for his heroics, joining Andy Murray -- demoted from Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I) -- and fellow first-time Komusubi Juan Martin del Potro at this rank. The other failed semi-finalist, former Ozeki (=Champion) Andy Roddick, who fell in three entertaining sets to Federer, moves up one rank from Komusubi to Sekiwake.

After the Australian Open, the mens' sanyaku-line-up will therefore be as follows:

Yokozuna: Federer, Nadal
Ozeki: Djokovic
Sekiwake: Roddick (up from K)
Komusubi: Murray (down from S), del Potro (up from M2), Verdasco (up from M5).

Safina Follows Dementieva to Ozeki; Serena One Win Away from Dai-Yokozuna Status

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Something rather unusual happened in the ladies' game: two promtions to Ozeki (=Champion) in one tournament. Elena Dementieva secured her Ozeki re-promotion by entering the third consecutive GS semifinal, even though she lost the semi to Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) Serena Williams, who saved her best tennis for this match (Dementieva had already been an Ozeki in 2004/05).

Now Dinara Safina has made the same step, overcoming her compatriot Vera Zvonareva in the semifinals. This plus Safinas semifinal participation at the US Open fulfills the promotion requirements to Ozeki. Safina has therefore reached the same career-high rank as her charismatic elder brother, two-time grand slam winner Marat Safin.

Ozeki promotions are rare enough -- Safina will be the 29th female Ozeki of the open era (along side 27 male career-high Ozeki) -- but double-Ozeki promotions are extremely rare. In the ladies' game it has happened only once right at the beginning of the open era, when Anne Haydon-Jones and Nancy Richey made it to Ozeki at the Wimbledon tournament of 1968. In mens' open era tennis, the only double promotion has been Gustavo Kuerten's and Magnus Norman's at the French Open of 2000.

The majority of Ozeki have won one (14 female/11 male players) or more (5 female/12 male players) grand slam titles in their careers. It is to be hoped that Dementieva and Safina can live up to this standard. Safina will have an opportunity tonight when she battles the magnificent Serena Williams.

Should Safina fail at this occasion, something out of the ordinary would happen: Serena would win her 10th grand slam title, which is the common threshold for being considered a Dai-Yokozuna (great Grand Champion). Since the beginning of the open era, only six female and four male Dai-Yokozuna have been recognized as Dai-Yokozuna: Margaret Court, Billie Jean King, Chris Evert, Martina Navratilova, Steffi Graf, Monica Seles; Rod Laver, Bjorn Borg, Pete Sampras, and Roger Federer. Serena would join an outstanding elite group indeed.

Finally, the post-Australian Open ladies' sanyaku line-up is set:

Yokozuna: S. Williams, V. Williams
Ozeki: Safina (up from S), Dementieva (up from S)
Sekiwake: none
Komusubi: Jankovic (down from S), Ivanovic (down from S), Zvonareva (up from M1).

Demoted from Komusubi to Maegashira: Sharapova, Schnyder.

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Dementieva Returns to Ozeki, the Yokozuna Are on Track

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After almost 5 years in the lower echelons, Elena Dementieva is again a Champion

Three female players entered the Australian Open needing only a semifinal for a promotion to Ozeki (=Champion): French Open champion Ana Ivanovic, who had just lost Ozeki status after disappointing performances at Wimbledon and the US Open; world #1 Jelena Jankovic, who had been at the lower sanyaku ranks for more than 2 years, had repeatedly toyed with an Ozeki promotion and came to Australia as the US Open finalist; and Dementieva, who had quietly restablished herself as an elite player, reaching back-to-back semifinals at Wimbledon and the US Open.

In the end it was Dementieva--maybe the longest shot of the three--how suceeded. Ivanovic and Jankovic exited early and will be demoted to Komusubi (=Junior Champion II). By contrast, Dementieva sailed through the field, stopping the Spanish sensation Carla Suarez Navarro in the quarterfinals in two one-sided sets. Dementieva regains therefore Ozeki status she had first earned in 2004, after reaching the finals at the French and the US Open. At the time she could not hold on to the rank for long, hopefully she will do better this time. In the semifinals Dementieva will meet Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) Serena Williams, who looked vulnerable in her quarterfinal against M1W and former Ozeki Svetlana Kuznetsova.

The other female player who can still become Ozeki is Dinara Safina, who would need a victory in her semifinal against M1E Vera Zvonareva. However, Zvonareva has shown outstanding performances thus far, and a semifinal victory for her, together with a promotion to Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I), seems at least as plausible.

In the mens' tournament, an all-Yokozuna final is well within each. After Roger Federer's quarterfinal triumph of yesterday, Rafael Nadal shook of the pesty Frenchman Gilles Simon (M1W) in three sets. Nadal's surprise opponent will be his countryman Fernando Verdasco (M5E), who followed up on his victory over Sekiwake Andy Murray with the elimination of the 2008 finalist, M1E and former Sekiwake Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, and has therefore earned the first sanyaku promotion of his career.

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

The Andys Swap Places

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Never write off a champion -- the old battle horse Andy "A-Rod" Roddick is climbing again up the sanyaku ranks.

Andy Roddick beat the defending champion, Ozeki (= Champion) Novak Djokovic, when the latter melted under the Melbourne heat and retired at the beginning of the fourth set, being 1-2 sets down. The former long-time Ozeki Roddick therefore rises from Komusubi (= Junior Champion II) to Sekiwake (= Junior Champion I), swapping places with Scotsman Andy Murray. Roddick could even make it back to Ozeki if he wins the tournament, but in the semifinal his nemesis Yokozuna (= Grand Champion) Roger Federer will be waiting, who pulverized Juan Martin del Potro (M2E) in three one-sided sets. Del Potro's sanyaku debut therefore comes to a halt at Komusubi.

In the ladies' tournament, top-ranked Maegashira Vera Zvonareva (M1E) stormed past former Sekiwake Marion Bartoli (M5E) to secure a first-time sanyaku promotion. In the semis she meets Sekiwake Dinara Safina, who edged local favorite Jelena Dokic (unseeded, a former Komusubi) in an error prone three-setter. If Safina wins the semifinal she will get promoted to Ozeki, if Zvonareva wins she will march through to Sekiwake.

Monday, January 26, 2009

The Quarterfinals--How They Line Up


The quarterfinal draw of the 2009 Australian Open is complete. Most favorites have made it, with the notable exceptions of Yokozuna Venus Williams and the Sekiwake Andy Murray, Jelena Jankovic and Ana Ivanovic. Especially in the ladies' field there are a few new faces. From now on, every match will affect the future sanyaku line-up (=championship ranks).

Nadal, Federer and Serena Williams are Yokozuna (=Grand Champions) and hold the rank for life. Defending AO champion Djokovic has already secured Ozeki (=Champion) status until at least Wimbledon 09 by reaching the quarterfinals. He could start a Yokozuna run if he wins the tournament again.

Safina and Dementieva have already defended Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I)rank. Dementieva is just one victory away from regaining the Ozeki status she held last in early 2005. Safina needs to win both her quarter- and semifinal to get a first-time Ozeki promotion.

Former Ozeki Andy Roddick has already defended Komusubi (=Junior Champion II) status. A win over Djokovic would get him back to Sekiwake, a tournament victory to Ozeki. Del Potro is the other male player with a remote chance for an Ozeki promotion. He would also need to win the tournament, a victory over Federer in the quarterfinals and del Potro is Sekiwake.

Simon, Tsonga, Verdasco, Zvonareva, Bartoli, Dokic, Suarez and Kuznetsova need to win their quarterfinal to enter the sanyaku ranks. For Simon, Zvonareva and Suarez this would be a first-time sanyaku promotion, for Tsonga, Bartoli, Dokic and Kuznetsova a return to champion status. The matches Tsonga vs. Vedasco and Zvonareva vs. Bartoli are guaranteed to produce a Komusubi promotion.

Andy Murray, Jelena Jankovic and Ana Ivanovic will be demoted from Sekiwake to Komusubi as a result of their early exits from the tournament. Maria Sharapova and Patty Schnyder will drop out of the Sanyaku ranks.

The Australian Open 2009 Quarterfinals
Men
Rafael Nadal (Y) vs. Gilles Simon (M1)
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (M1, former S) vs. Fernando Verdasco (M5)
Novak Djokovic (O) vs. Andy Roddick (K, former O)
Roger Federer (Y) vs. Juan Martin Del Potro (M2)
Women
Vera Zvonareva (M1) vs. Marion Bartoli (M5, former S)
Dinara Safina (S) vs. Jelena Dokic (-, former K)
Elena Dementieva (S) vs. Carla Suarez Navarro (-)
Serena Williams (Y) vs. Svetlana Kuznetsova (M2, former O)

Komusubi, not Ozeki, for Andy Murray

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Andy Murray entered the 2009 Australian Open as a strong Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I), with the US Open 2008 final under his belt and repeated wins over top players like Dai-Yokozuna Roger Federer. A semi-final participation down under and Murray would have been the 28th Ozeki (=Champion) of the open era.

In the event, Murray didn't even reach the quarterfinals, as he fell in five sets to an inspired Fernando Verdasco (Maegashira 5E). Murray gets therefore demoted to Komusubi (=Junior Champion II). Murray remains in a strong position though: a quarterfinal at the French Open and he'd be back at Sekiwake, a final and he would get the Ozeki promotion at Roland Garros. Given Murray's obvious talent and increasingly mature attitude, it may be that we just have to wait a little longer for the first male British Ozeki of the open era (there have been female British Ozeki -- Anne Haydon-Jones, Virginia Wade,and Sue Barker).

But not now. The only male players left in the tournament with a remoted chance of an Ozeki promotion are Juan Martin del Potro (M2E, Komusubi-promotion secured) and Andy Roddick (K1E). Either would have to win the tournament, however.

Murray's conqueror Verdasco will meet M1E and former Sekiwake Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the quarterfinals, who demolished M2W James Blake in three sets. The winner is guaranteed a promotion to Komusubi. The quarterfinal line-up is completed by Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) rafel Nadal, who had little trouble with M4W and ex-Sekiwake Fernando Gonzalez and will now play the aspiring Frenchman Gilles Simon (M1W).

Sunday, January 25, 2009

On Retirement Day, Dementieva Edges One Closer to Regaining Ozeki Status

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Three of today's five completed 4th round matches were decided because a player had to call it quits.

In the mens' tournament, M1W Gilles Simon moved to his first grand grand slam quarterfinal after M4E and former Komusubi (=Junior Champion II) Gael Monfils had to give up with an injured wrist, being 1-2 sets down. The other three remaining 4th-round matches are still to be played.

In the ladies' tournament, Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) Serena Wiliams lost the first set to M4E Victoria Azarenka, but Azarenka could not complete the second set. Serena will now meet M1W and former Ozeki (= Champion) Svetlana Kuznetsova in the quarterfinals, who got free passage against M8E and former Komusubi Jie Zheng.

A clean win was recorded by the young, unseeded Spaniard Carla Suarez Navarro, who beat copatriot Annabel Medina Garriques (M7W) in two sets. Suarez, who had eliminated Yokozuna Venus Williams in the second round, enters her second grand slam quarterfinal after the French Open 2008. She will face Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I) Elena Dementieva, who blasted past M6E Dominika Cibulkova. Dementieva came into the Australian Open with semifinal participations at Wimbledon and the US Open, and is therefore only one win way of regaining Ozeki status that she last held at the French Open of 2005.

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Del Potro Secures First-Time Sanyaku Promotion, Jankovic's Ozeki is Run Off

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The 2009 Australian Open are entering the decisive phase.

Maegashira M2E Juan Martin del Potro reached the quarterfinals by beating M7W Marin Cilic in four sets. Together with his quarterfinal participation at the 2008 US Open this secures del Potro's promotion to Komusubi (=Junior Champion II), his career-first sanyaku rank. Another win in the quarterfinals and the Argentine is Sekiwake (=Junior Champion I). Three more wins and the 2009 Australian Open title and he is Ozeki (=Champion). In the quarterfinals, del Potro will meet Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) Roger Federer, who had more trouble than expected with M8W Tomas Berdyrch.

Also in the quarterfinals is Komusubi (and former Ozeki) Andy Roddick, where he will probably face the defending Australian Open champion, Ozeki Novak Djokovic. Djokovic is two sets up against the unseeded ex-Sekiwake Marcos Baghdatis as this is written.

In the ladies' tournament, Jelena Jankovic's Ozeki run got derailed by a clear defeat to M5E and former Sekiwake Marion Bartoli. Jankovic drops to from Sekiwake to Komusubi, together with fellow Serb and former Ozeki Ana Ivanovic. All is not lost though: a final at the French Open in June and Jankovic can still become Ozeki.

Still on track is Dinara Safina, however, after surviving a scare against M4W Alice Cornet in a hard-fought three-set victory. Safina has therefore already defended her Sekiwake rank; two more victories in the quarter- and seminfinals and Safina will be the ladies' 29th Ozeki of the open era. Next she will meet the unseeded former Komusubi Jelena Dokic, who -- frenetically supported by the Australian audience -- is having an impressive combeack after a three-year absence from Grand Slam tennis.

Also through to the quarterfinals is top-ranked Maegashira 1E Vera Zvonareva. Her quarterfinal opponent will be Bartoli; with the winner being guaranteed to get promoted to the sanyaku ranks for the French Open.

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Hope to see you back, Maria

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With the withdrawal from the 2009 Australian Open, long-term Ozeki Maria Sharapova will drop out of the Sanyaku (=Championship) ranks for the first time since 2004, when the burst onto the scene by winning Wimbledon and gaining an immediate promotion to Ozeki.

Sharapova's career achievements to date make her already one of the strongest Ozeki (=Champions) of the open era. After Wimbledon 2004, Sharapova won two more slams, the US Open 2006 and the Australian Open 2008. She has therefore collected as many open titles as the Yokozuna Jennifer Capriati and Lindsay Davenport. Among female career-high Ozeki, only Virginia Wade matches her achievements.

Sharapova entered 15 grand slam tournaments as Ozeki. At one point -- the Australian Open 2007 -- she was only one victory away from a Yokozuna (=Grand Champion) promotion, when she lost the final to a spirited Serena Williams. Sharapova had lost Ozeki rank before -- after sub-par performances at Wimbledon and the US Open 2007 -- but regained it brilliantly by winning last year's Australian Open. Thereafter Sharapova's game fell apart due to injuries, however, forcing her to miss the last two slams altogether.

It's easy to forget over these achievements that Sharapova is still only 21: almost two years younger than world #1 Jelena Jankovic, one year younger than Dinara Safina, and just 7 months older than Ana Ivanovic. If healthy and motivated, Sharapova should be able to enjoy many more years at the top.

And ladies' tennis needs her. Since Justine Henin's retirement, the scene has again been dominated by the ageing but, on their day, still overwhelming Williams sisters, both established Yokozuna. Other than them, no female player has managed to even establish herself as Ozeki recently, a short-lived interlude by Ana Ivanovic last year notwithstanding. What a contast to the mens' game, where Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray have closed in on the phenomenal Yokozuna-double Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer, and where other exciting players -- del Potro, Tsonga, Monfils -- are breathing down the leaders' neck.

Ladies' tennis needs badly the starpower and brilliance Sharapova can produce. Get healthy, Maria, and hope to see you back.


Maria Sharapova
Career-High Ozeki
Born April 19, 1987 in Nyagan, Russia
Grand Slam Achievements
  Australian French Wimbledon US Total
Titles 1 0 1 1 3
Finals 1 0 0 0 1
Semifinals 2 1 2 1 6
Quarterfinals 0 2 0 0 2
Career points 11 4 8 6 29
Tournament rank O K O O O
Career Timeline
Year Tournament  Rank Pre-T    Result    Rank Post-T   Career points 
2003 A - R1 - 0
2003 F - R1 - 0
2003 W - R4 - 0
2003 U - R2 - 0
2004 A - R3 - 0
2004 F - QF - 1
2004 W - Win (1) O 5
2004 U O R3 O* 5
2005 A O* SF O 7
2005 F O QF O 8
2005 W O SF O 10
2005 U O SF O 12
2006 A O SF O 14
2006 F O R4 O* 14
2006 W O* SF O 16
2006 U O Win (2) O 20
2007 A O F O 23
2007 F O SF O 25
2007 W O R4 O* 25
2007 U O* R3 S 25
2008 A S Win (3) O 29
2008 F O R4 O* 29
2008 W O* R2 S 29
2008 U S - K 29
2009 A K - - 29
* Kadoban

Friday, January 16, 2009

Australian Open 2009: Banzuke and Preview

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The Australian Open 2009 start with an unusual banzuke on both the mens' and the ladies' side, and with a great chance to see the first Ozeki promotion since the US Open 2007.

  • Only five male players enter the Australian Open with Sanyaku (championship) rank, a record low that attests of the dominace of the top dogs: the Yokozuna (=Grand Champions) Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal, and Ozeki (=Champion) Novak Djokovic


  • The ladies' banzuke is headed by the seasoned Yokozuna sisters Serena and Venus Williams. There is no Ozeki: both Ana Ivanovic and Maria Sharapova lost Ozeki status in 2008, and there has been no Ozeki promotion since Wimbledon 2007.


  • There is a great chance that the Australian Open will produce a new Ozeki. On the men's side, a semifinal participation would make shooting start Andy Murray the 28th male Ozeki of the open era. On the ladies' side, Jelena Jankovic also needs a semifinal for an Ozeki promotion--the 29th of the open era--Dinara Safina a final. Safina would therefore attain the same career rank as her brother, Marat Safin. Also, former Ozeki Ana Ivanovic and Elena Dementieva could regain champion status if they reached the semis.


  • Several Maegashira are worth having and eye on for a possible first time Sanyaku promotion. On the mens' side, Juan Martin del Potro and Gilles Simon have convinced with strong performances in late 2008. Del Potro comes into the Australian Open with a quarterfinal participation at the US Open, hence another quarterfinal would propel him to Komusubi (=Junior Champion II). Simon needs a seminfal. On the ladies' side, US Open quarterfinalist Flavia Pennetta is a player to watch out for.


  • Komusubi and long-time former Ozeki Maria Sharpova had to withdraw once again with injury. She will therefore drop out of the Sanyaku ranks for the first time since 2004.

The table below shows the top banzuke ranks. The Sanyaku ranks are determined by the Yokozunatennis ranking system, the Maegashira ranks are filled up according to the seeding list. The full banzuke is published here.


Men
Career rank 1/ Seed East Current Rank West Seed Career rank 1/
High Sanyaku (Champion Ranks)
Y 2 Roger Federer Y Rafael Nadal 1 Y
O 3 Novak Djokovic O - - -
Lower Sanyaku (Junior Champion Ranks)
S 4 Andy Murray S - - -
O 7 Andy Roddick K - - -
High Maegashira
S 5 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga M1 Gilles Simon 6 -
- 8 Juan Martin del Potro M2 James Blake 9 -
S 10 David Nalbandian M3 David Ferrer      11 S

Women
Career rank 1/ Seed East Current Rank West Seed Career rank 1/
High Sanyaku (Champion Ranks)
Y 2 Serena Williams Y Venus Williams 6 Y
Lower Sanyaku (Junior Champion Ranks)
S 1 Jelena Jankovic S Elena Dementieva 4 O
S 3 Dinara Safina S Ana Ivanovic 5 O
K 14 Patty Schnyder K Maria Sharapova (wd) O
Maegashira
- 7 Vera Zvonareva M1 Svetlana Kuznetsova 8 O
K 9 Agniezska Radwanska M2 Nadia Petrova 10 S
- 11 Caroline Wozniacki M3 Flavia Pennetta 12 -

1/ Career-high Sanyaku rank, if applicable.